ANC may hold onto majority in 2024, latest survey shows

SOUTH Africa’s governing African National Congress has a chance of retaining its majority in national elections in 2024, according to a survey conducted by the Social Research Foundation.

The results of the survey of 3 204 registered voters in July contrasts with a slew of polls forecasting the party that led South Africa out of apartheid in 1994 will dip below 50% for the first time.

The survey, the full results of which are scheduled to be released in coming days, predicts that among likely voters the ANC could win as much as 52% of the vote if there is a 56% turnout of registered voters, a slide sent to Bloomberg shows.

Ipsos, a polling company, earlier this month predicted the ANC would win 42% if an election were held this month and Rapport, an Afrikaans-language newspaper, gave the ANC 38% of the vote, citing internal an internal poll conducted