Eight games remaining in the Premier League and for Pep Guardiola the equation is clear. Only eight wins equals Manchester City as champions of England once more. The math probably works out. After all, City trail leaders Arsenal by nine points.
They have a game in hand and crucially the Gunners have to come to the Etihad Stadium next week. If that game goes Guardiola’s way, the game is three points.
City would still need a helping hand elsewhere, possibly even two. Goal difference questions are still a bit thorny with this much football left to play.
Suppose City replicated their two-goal win over Arsenal at Wembley in the EFL Cup final last month. Their goal difference would go up to +34, Arsenal’s down to +37.
Maybe that is the sort of difference that can be overturned with one weekend where results go City’s way but it would be tight.
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